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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Friday 19 June 2026

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
2 : 1 FT
Derry City
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Waterford
0 : 2 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 40%
Draw 28%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
1 : 2 FT
Dundalk
Win 44%
Draw 27%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
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Showing top 6 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.