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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Sunday 21 September 2025

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 2 FT
Como
Win 36%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 57%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0 : 3 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 36%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 36%
Under 2.5 56%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia
Spartak Moscow
2 : 1 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
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Showing top 20 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.