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Tightly Contested Predictions

Most evenly matched fixtures by predicted outcome probabilities β€” Monday 15 September 2025

These fixtures have the smallest gap between home and away win probability β€” meaning neither team has a significant edge. Our prediction model scores each fixture by how evenly the outcome probabilities are spread across all three results. Fixtures at the top are closest to a perfect 33% / 33% / 33% split, making them prime candidates for the draw and double-chance markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy
Hellas Verona
0 : 0 FT
Cremonese
Win 37%
Draw 28%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
1 : 3 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 54%
#3 Ligue 2 Β· France
Guingamp
1 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 58%
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Showing top 11 most evenly matched fixtures (draw probability β‰₯ 22%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.