Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability — Sunday 4 January 2026
Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.
Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 4 January 2026. Lorient vs Metz (Lorient over 1.5 goals) led the list at 80% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 80% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Ligue 1 · France
Lorient over 1.5 goals
80%
Ligue 1 · France
Marseille over 1.5 goals
75%
Ligue 1 · France
Paris Saint Germain over 1.5 goals
68%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC over 1.5 goals
66%
League One · England
Wycombe over 1.5 goals
64%
Premier League · England
Leeds over 1.5 goals
60%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Qadisiyah FC over 1.5 goals
58%
League One · England
Bolton over 1.5 goals
57%
Championship · England
QPR over 1.5 goals
57%
Premier League · England
Manchester City over 1.5 goals
56%
League One · England
Cardiff over 1.5 goals
56%
Showing top 11 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Team Over 1.5 Goals — common questions
What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?
Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 4 January 2026?
eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Lorient vs Metz (Lorient over 1.5 goals) at 80% team over 1.5 probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.