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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Thursday 1 January 2026

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 1 January 2026. Bromley vs Newport County (Bromley over 1.5 goals) led the list at 68% in the League Two. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League Two Β· England Bromley over 1.5 goals 68%
Bromley
2 : 1 FT
Newport County
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 League Two Β· England Tranmere over 1.5 goals 66%
Harrogate Town
0 : 2 FT
Tranmere
Win 15%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 65%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%
#3 League One Β· England Leyton Orient over 1.5 goals 63%
Leyton Orient
1 : 3 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 League Two Β· England Barnet over 1.5 goals 59%
Barnet
2 : 1 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Championship Β· England QPR over 1.5 goals 58%
QPR
1 : 2 FT
Norwich
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd over 1.5 goals 58%
Sheffield Utd
3 : 1 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Premier League Β· England Liverpool over 1.5 goals 57%
Liverpool
0 : 0 FT
Leeds
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#8 League Two Β· England Fleetwood Town over 1.5 goals 57%
Fleetwood Town
0 : 1 FT
Grimsby
Win 50%
Draw 23%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 64%
#9 Premier League Β· England Brentford over 1.5 goals 56%
Brentford
0 : 0 FT
Tottenham
Win 51%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 61%
#10 Championship Β· England Coventry over 1.5 goals 55%
Charlton
1 : 1 FT
Coventry
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 10 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Thursday 1 January 2026?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Bromley vs Newport County (Bromley over 1.5 goals) at 68% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.