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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 14 December 2025

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 13 fixtures on Sunday 14 December 2025. Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) sits top on 88% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 46%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 88%
Bayern München
2 : 2 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 86%
Draw 9%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille over 1.5 goals 81%
Marseille
1 : 0 FT
Monaco
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 14%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 70%
#3 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys over 1.5 goals 75%
BSC Young Boys
2 : 0 FT
FC Luzern
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Premier League Β· England Brentford over 1.5 goals 74%
Brentford
1 : 1 FT
Leeds
Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Strasbourg over 1.5 goals 68%
Strasbourg
0 : 0 FT
Lorient
Win 78%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Strasbourg Clean Sheet 58%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK over 1.5 goals 65%
Atromitos
2 : 0 FT
PAOK
Win 16%
Draw 19%
Win 65%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens over 1.5 goals 62%
Lens
2 : 0 FT
Nice
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 58%
#8 Premier League Β· England Tottenham over 1.5 goals 61%
Nottingham Forest
3 : 0 FT
Tottenham
Win 22%
Draw 21%
Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 62%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovan Liberec over 1.5 goals 61%
Sparta Praha
2 : 2 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 26%
Draw 22%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria Red Bull Salzburg over 1.5 goals 59%
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 1 FT
Wolfsberger AC
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon over 1.5 goals 57%
Lyon
1 : 0 FT
Le Havre
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#12 Premier League Β· England Aston Villa over 1.5 goals 56%
West Ham
2 : 3 FT
Aston Villa
Win 25%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Darmstadt 98 over 1.5 goals 56%
SV Darmstadt 98
1 : 0 FT
Preußen Münster
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 13 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 14 December 2025?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs FSV Mainz 05 (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) at 88% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.