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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 31 August 2025

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 31 August 2025. Jagiellonia vs Lechia Gdansk (Jagiellonia over 1.5 goals) sits top on 78% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Veikkausliiga supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Jagiellonia over 1.5 goals 78%
Jagiellonia
2 : 0 FT
Lechia Gdansk
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 17%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 86% BTTS Yes 80%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv over 1.5 goals 71%
Lokomotiv
2 : 2 FT
Krylia Sovetov
Win 53%
Draw 21%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Ilves over 1.5 goals 70%
Ilves
2 : 1 FT
Mariehamn
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Atlético Ottawa over 1.5 goals 70%
Atlético Ottawa
3 : 1 FT
Vancouver FC
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking over 1.5 goals 70%
Viking
2 : 1 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil Flamengo over 1.5 goals 70%
Flamengo
1 : 1 FT
Gremio
Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 57% Flamengo Clean Sheet 53%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF over 1.5 goals 68%
Malmo FF
1 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki over 1.5 goals 67%
Kooteepee
1 : 4 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 14%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway Fredrikstad over 1.5 goals 66%
Fredrikstad
2 : 2 FT
Haugesund
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#10 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Inter Turku over 1.5 goals 62%
Inter Turku
2 : 1 FT
VPS
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Superettan Β· Sweden IK brage over 1.5 goals 61%
IK brage
2 : 1 FT
Trelleborg
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng over 1.5 goals 60%
Shandong Luneng
6 : 0 FT
Beijing Guoan
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 76%
#13 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys over 1.5 goals 59%
BSC Young Boys
3 : 1 FT
FC Lugano
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde over 1.5 goals 57%
Stromsgodset
3 : 1 FT
Molde
Win 18%
Draw 23%
Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#15 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica over 1.5 goals 56%
Alverca
1 : 2 FT
Benfica
Win 15%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 63%
BTTS No 54%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy Inter over 1.5 goals 56%
Inter
1 : 2 FT
Udinese
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon over 1.5 goals 55%
Lyon
1 : 0 FT
Marseille
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 54%
#18 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk over 1.5 goals 55%
Genk
3 : 2 FT
Zulte Waregem
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil Fluminense over 1.5 goals 55%
Santos
0 : 0 FT
Fluminense
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 55%
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 0 FT
Union Berlin
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 24%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 31 August 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Jagiellonia vs Lechia Gdansk (Jagiellonia over 1.5 goals) at 78% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.