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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 11 April 2025

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Friday 11 April 2025. NEC Nijmegen vs Waalwijk (NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals) led the list at 71% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals 71%
NEC Nijmegen
2 : 1 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 19%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#2 Super League Β· China Meizhou Kejia over 1.5 goals 68%
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 3 FT
Changchun Yatai
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia Spartak Moscow over 1.5 goals 65%
Spartak Moscow
1 : 2 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
Win 74%
Draw 21%
Win 6%
BTTS No 60% Spartak Moscow Clean Sheet 58%
#4 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals 65%
Hamburger SV
2 : 4 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC over 1.5 goals 65%
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 1 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 19%
Draw 20%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Ajman over 1.5 goals 64%
Ajman
1 : 1 FT
Al-Jazira
Win 44%
Draw 20%
Win 36%
Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 76%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France Rodez over 1.5 goals 59%
Rodez
2 : 2 FT
Caen
Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland SJK over 1.5 goals 57%
SJK
1 : 0 FT
HJK Helsinki
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 22%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray over 1.5 goals 56%
Samsunspor
0 : 2 FT
Galatasaray
Win 28%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 48%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 9 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 11 April 2025?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by NEC Nijmegen vs Waalwijk (NEC Nijmegen over 1.5 goals) at 71% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.