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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 15 September 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

17 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 15 September 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Celta Vigo vs Valladolid (Celta Vigo over 1.5 goals) at 78% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 57%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 76%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Celta Vigo over 1.5 goals 78%
Celta Vigo
3 : 1 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 69%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Muangthong United over 1.5 goals 73%
Muangthong United
4 : 2 FT
Sukhothai FC
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 19%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Prachuap over 1.5 goals 72%
Prachuap
1 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 20%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 64%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes over 1.5 goals 69%
Rennes
3 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe over 1.5 goals 67%
Kasımpaşa
0 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 22%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 58%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 67%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden BK Hacken over 1.5 goals 66%
BK Hacken
3 : 3 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 57%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Premier League Β· England Newcastle over 1.5 goals 66%
Wolves
1 : 2 FT
Newcastle
Win 26%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras over 1.5 goals 63%
Palmeiras
5 : 0 FT
Criciuma
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals 61%
Hamburger SV
5 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#10 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Sirius over 1.5 goals 60%
Sirius
3 : 2 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 21%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#11 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Zulte Waregem over 1.5 goals 60%
AS Eupen
1 : 3 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 25%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Eliteserien Β· Norway Brann over 1.5 goals 59%
Sandefjord
2 : 2 FT
Brann
Win 33%
Draw 21%
Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#13 Ligue 1 Β· France Strasbourg over 1.5 goals 59%
Strasbourg
1 : 1 FT
Angers
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 56%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain Girona over 1.5 goals 59%
Girona
1 : 4 FT
Barcelona
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile A. Italiano over 1.5 goals 58%
A. Italiano
2 : 0 FT
Cobreloa
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 55%
#16 Premier League Β· Ukraine Ruh Lviv over 1.5 goals 58%
Vorskla Poltava
0 : 0 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 25%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto over 1.5 goals 57%
FC Porto
2 : 1 FT
Farense
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
BTTS No 57%

Showing top 17 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 15 September 2024?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Celta Vigo vs Valladolid (Celta Vigo over 1.5 goals) at 78% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.