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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 23 February 2024

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Friday 23 February 2024. ADO Den Haag vs MVV (ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals) sits top on 76% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 76% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals 76%
ADO Den Haag
2 : 2 FT
MVV
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Utrecht over 1.5 goals 69%
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin over 1.5 goals 67%
Pogon Szczecin
4 : 2 FT
ŁKS Łódź
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Groningen over 1.5 goals 65%
Groningen
0 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals 60%
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
BTTS No 60% Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 56%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy Cosenza over 1.5 goals 58%
Cosenza
1 : 2 FT
Sampdoria
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Patro Eisden over 1.5 goals 56%
Patro Eisden
3 : 0 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Cambuur over 1.5 goals 56%
Emmen
2 : 0 FT
Cambuur
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands VVV Venlo over 1.5 goals 56%
VVV Venlo
2 : 2 FT
FC Eindhoven
Win 43%
Draw 25%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%

Showing top 9 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 23 February 2024?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by ADO Den Haag vs MVV (ADO Den Haag over 1.5 goals) at 76% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.