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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 27 August 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 27 August 2023. Sparta Praha vs Karviná (Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals) led the list at 82% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals 82%
Sparta Praha
3 : 1 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 12%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium RSC Anderlecht II over 1.5 goals 77%
Francs Borains
1 : 0 FT
RSC Anderlecht II
Win 17%
Draw 16%
Win 67%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 71%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes over 1.5 goals 71%
Rennes
2 : 2 FT
Le Havre
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 71%
Bayern München
3 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Rosenborg over 1.5 goals 71%
Rosenborg
4 : 0 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK over 1.5 goals 70%
PAOK
2 : 1 FT
Kifisia
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 17%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 63% PAOK Clean Sheet 61%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia Krylia Sovetov over 1.5 goals 69%
Krylia Sovetov
2 : 1 FT
Baltika
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 21%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Clermont Foot over 1.5 goals 66%
Clermont Foot
0 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
#9 Premier League Β· England Newcastle over 1.5 goals 62%
Newcastle
1 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Austria Austria Klagenfurt over 1.5 goals 62%
TSV Hartberg
0 : 3 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
Win 19%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 56%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil Fortaleza EC over 1.5 goals 61%
Fortaleza EC
3 : 1 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#12 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Djurgardens IF over 1.5 goals 60%
Djurgardens IF
4 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany FSV Mainz 05 over 1.5 goals 60%
FSV Mainz 05
1 : 1 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 51%
Draw 22%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#14 Serie A Β· Brazil Palmeiras over 1.5 goals 59%
Palmeiras
1 : 0 FT
Vasco DA Gama
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Karlsruher SC over 1.5 goals 59%
Karlsruher SC
2 : 0 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 64%
#16 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium K. Lierse S.K. over 1.5 goals 59%
Dender
2 : 2 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 33%
Draw 22%
Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#17 Superettan Β· Sweden Osters IF over 1.5 goals 58%
Osters IF
2 : 0 FT
Orgryte IS
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#18 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha over 1.5 goals 57%
FK Jablonec
1 : 1 FT
Slavia Praha
Win 23%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#19 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico Paranaense over 1.5 goals 56%
Atletico Paranaense
2 : 2 FT
Fluminense
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#20 Eliteserien Β· Norway Sandefjord over 1.5 goals 56%
Sandefjord
0 : 0 FT
Haugesund
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 27 August 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sparta Praha vs Karviná (Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals) at 82% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.