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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 19 February 2023

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Sunday 19 February 2023. Borussia Dortmund vs Hertha BSC (Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals) sits top on 77% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 71%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 77%
Borussia Dortmund
4 : 1 FT
Hertha BSC
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Sparta Praha over 1.5 goals 71%
Sparta Praha
3 : 0 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 61%
#3 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Chonburi FC over 1.5 goals 63%
Chonburi FC
0 : 1 FT
Muangthong United
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Premier League Β· England Manchester United over 1.5 goals 63%
Manchester United
3 : 0 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 64%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany 1. FC Heidenheim over 1.5 goals 61%
1. FC Heidenheim
5 : 0 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Bohemians 1905 over 1.5 goals 60%
České Budějovice
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 over 1.5 goals 60%
FC Basel 1893
2 : 2 FT
Servette FC
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Port FC over 1.5 goals 58%
Port FC
2 : 1 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hamburger SV over 1.5 goals 58%
Hamburger SV
2 : 1 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany Union Berlin over 1.5 goals 58%
Union Berlin
0 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 67%
Draw 24%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona over 1.5 goals 57%
Barcelona
2 : 0 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Barcelona Clean Sheet 58%
#12 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus over 1.5 goals 57%
Lamia
0 : 3 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 9%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#13 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga over 1.5 goals 57%
SC Braga
2 : 0 FT
Arouca
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ BTTS No 54%
#14 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayer Leverkusen over 1.5 goals 57%
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 3 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France Lorient over 1.5 goals 56%
Lorient
3 : 0 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Primera División Β· Chile O'Higgins over 1.5 goals 55%
O'Higgins
0 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta over 1.5 goals 55%
Atalanta
1 : 2 FT
Lecce
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 53%

Showing top 17 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 19 February 2023?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Borussia Dortmund vs Hertha BSC (Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals) at 77% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.