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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 30 April 2022

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

17 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 30 April 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Rennes vs Saint Etienne (Rennes over 1.5 goals) at 82% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 69%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France Rennes over 1.5 goals 82%
Rennes
2 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 79%
Draw 12%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Dortmund over 1.5 goals 78%
Borussia Dortmund
3 : 4 FT
VfL Bochum
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto over 1.5 goals 77%
FC Porto
4 : 2 FT
Vizela
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit over 1.5 goals 71%
Zenit
3 : 1 FT
Lokomotiv
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#5 League One Β· England Oxford United over 1.5 goals 69%
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
Doncaster
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 66%
Ajax
3 : 0 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 55%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany SV Darmstadt 98 over 1.5 goals 66%
SV Darmstadt 98
6 : 0 FT
Erzgebirge AUE
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 24%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 76%
#8 Premier League Β· England Manchester City over 1.5 goals 65%
Leeds
0 : 4 FT
Manchester City
Win 10%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 73%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden AFC Eskilstuna over 1.5 goals 64%
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 2 FT
Skövde AIK
Win 53%
Draw 21%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Konyaspor over 1.5 goals 63%
Konyaspor
1 : 2 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 68%
Draw 21%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil America Mineiro over 1.5 goals 63%
America Mineiro
1 : 0 FT
Atletico Paranaense
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfB Stuttgart over 1.5 goals 63%
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 1 FT
VfL Wolfsburg
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#13 Championship Β· England Nottingham Forest over 1.5 goals 60%
Nottingham Forest
5 : 1 FT
Swansea
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid over 1.5 goals 59%
Real Madrid
4 : 0 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#15 League One Β· England Bolton over 1.5 goals 57%
Bolton
4 : 2 FT
Fleetwood Town
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Djurgardens IF over 1.5 goals 57%
Djurgardens IF
4 : 0 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#17 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk over 1.5 goals 55%
Shakhtar Donetsk
– : – CANC
Vorskla Poltava
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 17 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 30 April 2022?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Rennes vs Saint Etienne (Rennes over 1.5 goals) at 82% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.