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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 9 April 2022

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

17 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 9 April 2022. Bayern München vs FC Augsburg (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) led the list at 75% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München over 1.5 goals 75%
Bayern München
1 : 0 FT
FC Augsburg
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax over 1.5 goals 71%
Ajax
2 : 1 FT
Sparta Rotterdam
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS No 54%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Sporting CP over 1.5 goals 69%
Tondela
1 : 3 FT
Sporting CP
Win 12%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#4 League One Β· England Oxford United over 1.5 goals 60%
Oxford United
1 : 2 FT
Sunderland
Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Premier League Β· England Leeds over 1.5 goals 60%
Watford
0 : 3 FT
Leeds
Win 31%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#6 League One Β· England Wycombe over 1.5 goals 60%
Gillingham
1 : 1 FT
Wycombe
Win 9%
Draw 21%
Win 70%
BTTS No 61% Wycombe Clean Sheet 56%
#7 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys over 1.5 goals 59%
BSC Young Boys
2 : 2 FT
Lausanne
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#8 Championship Β· England Nottingham Forest over 1.5 goals 59%
Nottingham Forest
2 : 0 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 54%
#9 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany FC Schalke 04 over 1.5 goals 58%
FC Schalke 04
3 : 0 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#10 Super League 1 Β· Greece OFI over 1.5 goals 58%
OFI
1 : 2 FT
Apollon Smirnis
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
BTTS No 54%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy Lecce over 1.5 goals 58%
Lecce
1 : 0 FT
Spal
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%
#12 Championship Β· England Bristol City over 1.5 goals 57%
Bristol City
1 : 1 FT
Peterborough
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Luzern over 1.5 goals 56%
Grasshoppers
2 : 2 FT
FC Luzern
Win 35%
Draw 22%
Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica over 1.5 goals 56%
Benfica
3 : 1 FT
Belenenses
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 25%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 57%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy Juventus over 1.5 goals 55%
Cagliari
1 : 2 FT
Juventus
Win 16%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 59%
#16 Eliteserien Β· Norway Lillestrom over 1.5 goals 55%
Lillestrom
4 : 0 FT
jerv
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy Inter over 1.5 goals 55%
Inter
2 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 17 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 9 April 2022?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs FC Augsburg (Bayern München over 1.5 goals) at 75% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.