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Team Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest team over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 18 December 2021

Team over 1.5 goals lands when the selected side scores at least twice, whatever the opposition does. Our prediction model sums every scoreline where that side reaches 2 goals, backing whichever team has the higher figure. Only selections at 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Saturday 18 December 2021. Dordrecht vs Excelsior (Excelsior over 1.5 goals) sits top on 85% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the team over 1.5 goals market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Excelsior over 1.5 goals 85%
Dordrecht
1 : 1 FT
Excelsior
Win 8%
Draw 11%
Win 80%
Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Zurich over 1.5 goals 77%
FC Zurich
3 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany 1899 Hoffenheim over 1.5 goals 75%
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands AZ Alkmaar over 1.5 goals 74%
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 1 FT
Willem II
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 17%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#5 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Pogon Szczecin over 1.5 goals 63%
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 FT
Warta Poznań
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovácko over 1.5 goals 60%
Slovácko
2 : 1 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 53%
#7 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Deinze over 1.5 goals 60%
Deinze
2 : 2 FT
Royal Excel Mouscron
Win 48%
Draw 27%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Sevilla over 1.5 goals 59%
Sevilla
2 : 1 FT
Atletico Madrid
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 23%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Bohemians 1905 over 1.5 goals 57%
Bohemians 1905
1 : 2 FT
Pardubice
Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig over 1.5 goals 56%
RB Leipzig
0 : 2 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta over 1.5 goals 56%
Atalanta
1 : 4 FT
AS Roma
Win 48%
Draw 22%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#12 Super League Β· Switzerland Servette FC over 1.5 goals 55%
FC Luzern
0 : 2 FT
Servette FC
Win 24%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 52%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 12 fixtures by team over 1.5 probability (a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Team Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Team Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Team Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match sees the selected side score at least twice. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate team over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The team over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability that the selected side scores at least twice, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Team Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 18 December 2021?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Dordrecht vs Excelsior (Excelsior over 1.5 goals) at 85% team over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher chance of one side scoring 2 or more, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these team over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.