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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability — Sunday 10 January 2027

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market — it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 15 fixtures on Sunday 10 January 2027. Groningen vs GO Ahead Eagles sits top on 84% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 57%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Groningen
– : – 15:45
GO Ahead Eagles
Win 65%
Draw 16%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 84% BTTS Yes 76%
#2 Serie A · Italy
Monza
– : – 17:30
Frosinone
Win 42%
Draw 20%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 78%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Atletico Madrid
– : – 16:00
Racing Santander
Win 82%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 72%
#4 La Liga · Spain
Alaves
– : – 16:00
Real Sociedad
Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 71%
#5 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord
– : – 13:30
PSV Eindhoven
Win 46%
Draw 22%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
– : – 11:15
Cambuur
Win 33%
Draw 22%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Heracles
– : – 11:15
NAC Breda
Win 57%
Draw 20%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave
– : – 16:00
Moreirense
Win 25%
Draw 21%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Serie A · Italy
Torino
– : – 17:30
Atalanta
Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#10 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
– : – 16:00
Levante
Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%
#11 Serie A · Italy
Inter
– : – 17:30
Juventus
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%
#12 La Liga · Spain
Osasuna
– : – 16:00
Barcelona
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
– : – 17:30
PAOK
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Eredivisie · Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
– : – 13:30
Telstar
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 61%
#15 Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina
– : – 17:30
Lecce
Win 37%
Draw 24%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 15 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals — common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Sunday 10 January 2027?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Groningen vs GO Ahead Eagles at 84% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.