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Over 2.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 2.5 probability β€” Sunday 30 August 2020

Over 2.5 goals is the most widely-backed goals market β€” it needs at least 3 goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 3 total goals, sitting between the safer over 1.5 and higher-risk over 3.5 markets. Only fixtures with 55%+ probability are shown.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 30 August 2020. Viking vs Molde led the list at 71% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the over 2.5 goals market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
3 : 2 FT
Molde
Win 32%
Draw 21%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
2 : 2 FT
Stabaek
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Start
1 : 0 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Orebro SK
4 : 3 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 24%
Draw 23%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0 : 3 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 32%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
1 : 1 FT
IFK Goteborg
Win 35%
Draw 26%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Malmo FF
1 : 1 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 47%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 2.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 2.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 2.5 Goals market mean?

Over 2.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 3 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 2.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 2.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 3 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 2.5 Goals on Sunday 30 August 2020?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Viking vs Molde at 71% over 2.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher over 2.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 2.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.