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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 26 August 2026

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Four fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 26 August 2026. The strongest reading belongs to FC Anyang vs Incheon United at 84% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 72%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Of the four fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Anyang
2 : 1 FT
Incheon United
Win 20%
Draw 26%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
#3 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
2 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Primera División Β· Chile
Coquimbo Unido
1 : 2 FT
U. Catolica
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 53%

Showing top 4 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 26 August 2026?

four fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Anyang vs Incheon United at 84% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.