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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 29 July 2026

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Wednesday 29 July 2026. Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec sits top on 84% in the Canadian Premier League. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 70%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie A supplies five of the top 6, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the three fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the over 1.5 goals market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Cavalry FC
2 : 1 FT
Supra du Quebec
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Chapecoense-sc
: PST
Vasco DA Gama
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 51%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Sao Paulo
: PST
Santos
Win 50%
Draw 25%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Mirassol
2 : 1 FT
Remo
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
1 : 1 FT
Flamengo
Win 23%
Draw 28%
Win 49%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
: PST
RB Bragantino
Win 39%
Draw 29%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 6 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 29 July 2026?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Cavalry FC vs Supra du Quebec at 84% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.