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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Thursday 13 February 2025

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 13 February 2025. Khorfakkan vs Al Urooba sits top on 82% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 73%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies five of the top 6, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the over 1.5 goals market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Khorfakkan
3 : 0 FT
Al Urooba
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
3 : 1 FT
Al-Ittihad Kalba
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 League Two Β· England
Port Vale
1 : 0 FT
Notts County
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 43%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2 : 3 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 46%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Shabab
2 : 3 FT
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 36%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Okhdood
0 : 0 FT
Damac
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%

Showing top 6 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Thursday 13 February 2025?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Khorfakkan vs Al Urooba at 82% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.