Sign in Register
⚑

Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Thursday 27 June 2024

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Thursday 27 June 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Lillestrom vs KFUM Oslo at 82% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 70%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies five of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the over 1.5 goals market — 86%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Lillestrom
2 : 1 FT
KFUM Oslo
Win 17%
Draw 20%
Win 62%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
1 : 2 FT
Ham-Kam
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 32%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Goianiense
1 : 1 FT
Gremio
Win 29%
Draw 29%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Fluminense
0 : 1 FT
Vitoria
Win 45%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Internacional
1 : 2 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Under 2.5 58%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
1 : 1 FT
Cuiaba
Win 35%
Draw 30%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
2 : 1 FT
Vasco DA Gama
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 26%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60% Bahia Clean Sheet 53%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Thursday 27 June 2024?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Lillestrom vs KFUM Oslo at 82% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.