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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Wednesday 24 May 2023

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

14 matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 24 May 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Pardubice vs FK Jablonec at 87% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 73%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

La Liga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 93%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
2 : 0 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Rayo Vallecano
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#4 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Zlin
2 : 1 FT
Baník Ostrava
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Brighton
1 : 1 FT
Manchester City
Win 31%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#6 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
1 : 2 FT
Vorskla Poltava
Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Djurgardens IF
1 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 26%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk
0 : 3 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
2 : 0 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain
Espanyol
3 : 3 FT
Atletico Madrid
Win 23%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Teplice
1 : 1 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
#12 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 3 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 15%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 Super League Β· China
SHANGHAI SIPG
3 : 2 FT
Henan Jianye
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 56%
#14 La Liga Β· Spain
Elche
1 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 30%
Draw 26%
Win 44%

Showing top 14 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Wednesday 24 May 2023?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Pardubice vs FK Jablonec at 87% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.