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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 15 May 2023

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Monday 15 May 2023. Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. led the list at 91% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 71%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the over 1.5 goals market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 2 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 19%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 72%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile
Curico Unido
0 : 1 FT
Palestino
Win 37%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 40%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 67%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
5 : 0 FT
Damac
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fateh
2 : 4 FT
Al-Adalah
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Baten
0 : 0 FT
Al-Fayha
Win 47%
Draw 24%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Leicester
0 : 3 FT
Liverpool
Win 30%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Khaleej Saihat
0 : 2 FT
Al Taawon
Win 36%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 39%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Primera División Β· Chile
Universidad de Chile
0 : 0 FT
Cobresal
Win 44%
Draw 25%
Win 31%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden
GIF Sundsvall
1 : 1 FT
Helsingborg
Win 46%
Draw 26%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#10 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Minai
0 : 1 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 24%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 Superettan Β· Sweden
Trelleborg
1 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
Win 25%
Draw 26%
Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 11 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 15 May 2023?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Shamrock Rovers vs St Patrick's Athl. at 91% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.