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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Friday 13 January 2023

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Friday 13 January 2023. KVC Westerlo vs OH Leuven led the list at 90% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 72%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies five of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the over 1.5 goals market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
1 : 2 FT
OH Leuven
Win 46%
Draw 21%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
3 : 0 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kayserispor
4 : 1 FT
Sivasspor
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Helmond Sport
2 : 2 FT
NAC Breda
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray
4 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
2 : 1 FT
Leeds
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
1 : 1 FT
FC OSS
Win 52%
Draw 24%
Win 24%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
2 : 1 FT
Damac
Win 31%
Draw 25%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
ADO Den Haag
2 : 1 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 0 FT
Jong AZ
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 10 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Friday 13 January 2023?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by KVC Westerlo vs OH Leuven at 90% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.