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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 15 May 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 15 May 2022. Suwon City FC vs Jeju United FC sits top on 91% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the over 1.5 goals market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon City FC
1 : 3 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 34%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
1 : 2 FT
FC Schalke 04
Win 19%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
3 : 3 FT
IF Brommapojkarna
Win 56%
Draw 20%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Alanyaspor
3 : 0 FT
Gaziantep FK
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 68%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
3 : 0 FT
SC Paderborn 07
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 68%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Real Betis
2 : 0 FT
Granada CF
βœ“ Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#7 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Pacific FC
2 : 1 FT
FC Edmonton
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Levante
3 : 1 FT
Alaves
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Konyaspor
3 : 1 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Ilves
1 : 0 FT
Mariehamn
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
0 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 31%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Superettan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
1 : 3 FT
IK brage
Win 26%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
2 : 0 FT
Karlsruher SC
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 31%
Win 29%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Göztepe
0 : 2 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 18%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 58%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kasımpaşa
2 : 4 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
1 : 3 FT
Sassuolo
Win 45%
Draw 26%
Win 29%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#17 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
BK Hacken
3 : 1 FT
Kalmar FF
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Vitória SC
5 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#19 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SV Sandhausen
3 : 1 FT
Holstein Kiel
Win 33%
Draw 32%
Win 35%
✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#20 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
1 : 3 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 28%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 15 May 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Suwon City FC vs Jeju United FC at 91% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.