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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Tuesday 10 May 2022

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

Eleven fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 10 May 2022. The strongest reading belongs to BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen at 88% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 70%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Pro League supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the over 1.5 goals market — 91%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
4 : 1 FT
FC ST. Gallen
Win 29%
Draw 21%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
3 : 1 FT
Khorfakkan
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
3 : 2 FT
Charleroi
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 19%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Ajman
2 : 2 FT
Al Wahda FC
Win 26%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Aston Villa
1 : 2 FT
Liverpool
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KV Mechelen
1 : 2 FT
Gent
Win 35%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Serie A Β· Brazil
Avai
2 : 1 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 25%
Win 27%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Granada CF
1 : 0 FT
Athletic Club
Win 26%
Draw 27%
Win 46%
BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Urooba
2 : 1 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Karviná
2 : 2 FT
Teplice
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 36%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Pardubice
1 : 1 FT
Zlin
Win 45%
Draw 28%
Win 28%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 11 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Tuesday 10 May 2022?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by BSC Young Boys vs FC ST. Gallen at 88% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.