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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Monday 29 November 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Monday 29 November 2021. Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk led the list at 85% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 73%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the over 1.5 goals market — 62%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
0 : 1 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 32%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 66%
#2 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius
3 : 0 FT
BK Hacken
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 23%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
MVV
1 : 1 FT
Roda
Win 22%
Draw 22%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Emmen
3 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Championship Β· England
Derby
1 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Mjallby AIF
0 : 0 FT
Orebro SK
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 56%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Ternana
1 : 0 FT
Crotone
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia
FC UFA
1 : 1 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 46%
Draw 28%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 8 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Monday 29 November 2021?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Oleksandria vs Zorya Luhansk at 85% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.