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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Sunday 2 May 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists twelve fixtures on Sunday 2 May 2021. Bodo/Glimt vs Haugesund sits top on 88% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 71%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eliteserien supplies six of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the over 1.5 goals market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Bodo/Glimt
– : – CANC
Haugesund
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
– : – CANC
Tromso
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
– : – CANC
Stabaek
Win 53%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 65%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
– : – CANC
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 49%
Draw 25%
Win 26%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Brann
– : – CANC
Kristiansund BK
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sandefjord
– : – CANC
Lillestrom
Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
KuPS
0 : 0 FT
HJK Helsinki
Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Super League Β· China
Guangzhou Evergrande FC
2 : 0 FT
Shenzhen Ruby FC
Win 22%
Draw 32%
Win 46%
BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Primera División Β· Chile
Huachipato
0 : 1 FT
O'Higgins
Win 36%
Draw 34%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
1 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 16%
Draw 32%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#11 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Ostersunds FK
1 : 2 FT
Varbergs BoIS FC
Win 46%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 56%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal
2 : 0 FT
Curico Unido
βœ“ Win 40%
Draw 36%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 59%

Showing top 12 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Sunday 2 May 2021?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Bodo/Glimt vs Haugesund at 88% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.