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Over 1.5 Goals Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted over 1.5 probability β€” Saturday 2 January 2021

Over 1.5 goals is the safest goals market β€” you only need two goals in the match. Our prediction model calculates this as the probability of at least 2 total goals (i.e. anything other than a 0–0 or 1–0/0–1 scoreline). Only fixtures with 70%+ probability are shown, giving you the most reliable selections for accumulators.

The model shortlists seven fixtures on Saturday 2 January 2021. Arminia Bielefeld vs Borussia Mönchengladbach sits top on 89% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 80%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Bundesliga supplies seven of the top 7, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the over 1.5 goals market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
0 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 25%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 49%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 70%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hertha BSC
3 : 0 FT
FC Schalke 04
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 68%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
1 : 3 FT
SC Freiburg
Win 42%
Draw 30%
Win 27%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt
2 : 1 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 17%
Draw 28%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
0 : 2 FT
Union Berlin
Win 28%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 41%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 24%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 45%
BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 22%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 47%
BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 7 fixtures by over 1.5 goals probability (β‰₯ 70%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Over 1.5 Goals β€” common questions

What does the Over 1.5 Goals market mean?

Over 1.5 Goals settles on whether a match finishes with at least 2 total goals. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate over 1.5 goals probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The over 1.5 probability shown here is the probability of at least 2 total goals, summed across every scoreline in the model's matrix. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Over 1.5 Goals on Saturday 2 January 2021?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Arminia Bielefeld vs Borussia Mönchengladbach at 89% over 1.5 probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 70% or higher over 1.5 probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these over 1.5 goals predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.