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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability β€” Saturday 22 May 2027

These are the day's biggest mismatches β€” fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side β€” the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

Eight matches clear our threshold on Saturday 22 May 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Kortrijk vs St. Truiden at 74% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 62%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Kortrijk
: 15:00
St. Truiden
Win 11%
Draw 15%
Win 74%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 58%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
: 13:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 85% BTTS Yes 77%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France
Estac Troyes
: 15:00
Paris Saint Germain
Win 15%
Draw 20%
Win 65%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
RB Leipzig
: 13:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia
Akron
: 15:00
Baltika
Win 14%
Draw 23%
Win 64%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Ligue 2 Β· France
Saint Etienne
: 18:00
PAU
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
: 16:00
GKS Katowice
Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
: 15:00
KV Mechelen
Win 62%
Draw 20%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%

Showing top 8 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided β€” common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Saturday 22 May 2027?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Kortrijk vs St. Truiden at 74% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.