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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability β€” Sunday 21 February 2027

These are the day's biggest mismatches β€” fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side β€” the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

The model shortlists six fixtures on Sunday 21 February 2027. PSV Eindhoven vs Cambuur tops the list at 75% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 63%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
: 16:00
Cambuur
Win 75%
Draw 13%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 85% BTTS Yes 72%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
: 16:00
Levante
Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
: 12:00
Konyaspor
Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 58%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
: 16:00
Racing Santander
Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
: 12:00
Amed
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
: 16:00
Casa Pia
Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 66% FC Porto Clean Sheet 58%

Showing top 6 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided β€” common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Sunday 21 February 2027?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Cambuur at 75% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.