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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability β€” Saturday 23 January 2027

These are the day's biggest mismatches β€” fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side β€” the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

Seven fixtures clear the bar on Saturday 23 January 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Union St. Gilloise vs SK Beveren at 79% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 60%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Bundesliga supplies three of the top 7, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise
: 16:00
SK Beveren
Win 79%
Draw 15%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 62% Union St. Gilloise Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
: 16:00
RAAL La Louvière
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 59%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
: 14:30
SV Elversberg
Win 68%
Draw 16%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 74%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07
: 14:30
FSV Mainz 05
Win 14%
Draw 21%
Win 65%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 53%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France
Estac Troyes
: 16:00
Monaco
Win 15%
Draw 21%
Win 64%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#6 League Two Β· England
Accrington ST
: 15:00
Rochdale
Win 64%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 56%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Lustenau
: 16:00
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 16%
Draw 24%
Win 60%
Over 2.5 54%

Showing top 7 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided β€” common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Saturday 23 January 2027?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Union St. Gilloise vs SK Beveren at 79% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.