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One-Sided Predictions

Biggest mismatches ranked by dominant win probability β€” Sunday 28 November 2021

These are the day's biggest mismatches β€” fixtures where the prediction model gives one team a 60%+ win probability. Useful for finding confident accumulator legs, handicap markets, and Asian lines. The favourite can be the home or away side β€” the model ranks purely on statistical dominance, not venue.

15 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 28 November 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Slavia Praha vs Teplice at 85% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 60%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the one-sided market — 77%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
3 : 0 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 85%
Draw 10%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Utrecht
1 : 0 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 1 FT
Ajax
Win 10%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 71%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Ajax Clean Sheet 58%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 FT
Panetolikos
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico-MG
2 : 1 FT
Fluminense
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 23%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 67% Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 60%
#6 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg
4 : 0 FT
Ostersunds FK
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Haugesund
1 : 2 FT
Sandefjord
Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
– : – CANC
Haugesund
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lech Poznan
2 : 0 FT
Warta Poznań
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Lech Poznan Clean Sheet 55%
#10 Premier League Β· England
Chelsea
1 : 1 FT
Manchester United
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#11 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Inhulets
0 : 1 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 13%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Shakhtar Donetsk Clean Sheet 55%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile
U. Catolica
2 : 0 FT
Huachipato
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#13 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
3 : 0 FT
FC Ingolstadt 04
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 57%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde
– : – CANC
Valerenga
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
0 : 1 FT
Union Espanola
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 15 fixtures where one team has 60%+ win probability. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

One-Sided β€” common questions

What does the One-Sided market mean?

One-Sided settles on whether a match has a clear statistical favourite. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate one-sided probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The favourite's win probability shown here is the stronger of the two win probabilities, regardless of which side is at home. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for One-Sided on Sunday 28 November 2021?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Slavia Praha vs Teplice at 85% favourite's win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 60% or higher win probability for one side, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these one-sided predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.