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Low Scoring Predictions

Fixtures ranked by lowest predicted expected total goals — Friday 25 October 2024

Our prediction model identifies fixtures where both teams have historically weak attack or strong defence. Fixtures at the top of this list have the lowest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Under 2.5 goals and low-scoring correct score markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
1 : 0 FT
Nacional
✓ Win 46%
Draw 31%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#2 Championship · England
Portsmouth
1 : 2 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
Win 29%
Draw 35%
✓ Win 36%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 60%
#3 Premier League · Ukraine
Ruh Lviv
1 : 1 FT
Chornomorets
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 62%
#4 Premier League · Ukraine
Polessya
1 : 1 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 58%
#5 Premier Division · Ireland
Waterford
1 : 1 FT
Bohemians
Win 23%
Draw 33%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#6 Premier League · England
Leicester
1 : 3 FT
Nottingham Forest
Win 26%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 42%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#7 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Santa Clara
2 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
✓ Win 45%
Draw 29%
Win 26%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#8 Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
2 : 2 FT
Sligo Rovers
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#9 Premier Division · Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 0 FT
Derry City
✓ Win 41%
Draw 32%
Win 26%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#10 Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 1 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
✓ Win 66%
Draw 23%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 65% Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 58%
#11 Thai League 1 · Thailand
Nong Bua Pitchaya
5 : 3 FT
Ratchaburi
✓ Win 38%
Draw 33%
Win 28%
Under 2.5 59%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Annecy
2 : 0 FT
Laval
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#13 Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
1 : 0 FT
Cuiaba
✓ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 Premier Division · Ireland
Shelbourne
2 : 1 FT
Drogheda United
✓ Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 54%
#15 Ligue 2 · France
Rodez
3 : 3 FT
Lorient
Win 38%
Draw 27%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 15 fixtures by lowest combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.