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Low Scoring Predictions

Fixtures ranked by lowest predicted expected total goals — Saturday 5 October 2024

Our prediction model identifies fixtures where both teams have historically weak attack or strong defence. Fixtures at the top of this list have the lowest combined expected goals (xG) — making them the best candidates for Under 2.5 goals and low-scoring correct score markets.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga · Spain
Valladolid
1 : 2 FT
Rayo Vallecano
Win 26%
Draw 44%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 80% BTTS No 67%
#2 Süper Lig · Turkey
Hatayspor
1 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
Win 24%
Draw 35%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 74% BTTS No 65%
#3 Premier League · Ukraine
Kolos Kovalivka
0 : 0 FT
Livyi Bereh
Win 37%
Draw 36%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#4 Championship · England
West Brom
0 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
Caen
1 : 2 FT
Lorient
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 73% BTTS No 67%
#6 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Karviná
0 : 0 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 40%
Draw 33%
Win 27%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#7 Championship · England
Sheffield Utd
2 : 0 FT
Luton
✓ Win 49%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 67%
#8 League Two · England
Crewe
2 : 0 FT
Gillingham
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#9 League Two · England
Salford City
1 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#10 Serie A · Brazil
Cuiaba
2 : 0 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
4 : 1 FT
Guingamp
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 62%
#12 Championship · England
Swansea
0 : 0 FT
Stoke City
Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65%
#13 Serie B · Italy
Sassuolo
6 : 1 FT
Cittadella
Win 25%
Draw 35%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 59%
#14 Primeira Liga · Portugal
GIL Vicente
3 : 0 FT
Estrela
✓ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#15 Superettan · Sweden
Gefle IF
2 : 1 FT
IK brage
Win 27%
Draw 32%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#16 Bundesliga · Austria
WSG Wattens
1 : 1 FT
FC BW Linz
Win 40%
Draw 30%
Win 29%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 59%
#17 Super League · Switzerland
FC Winterthur
1 : 0 FT
Grasshoppers
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#18 Super League 1 · Greece
Panetolikos
1 : 0 FT
AEK Athens FC
Win 26%
Draw 38%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#19 Championship · England
Watford
2 : 1 FT
Middlesbrough
✓ Win 39%
Draw 30%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 57%
#20 Canadian Premier League · Canada
Pacific FC
1 : 4 FT
Cavalry FC
Win 28%
Draw 37%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by lowest combined expected goals. Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.