Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to simulate every possible scoreline. The draw probability sums all equal-score outcomes (0–0, 1–1, 2–2, etc.) from the score matrix. Fixtures at the top of this list show the highest statistical likelihood of ending level — useful for targeting the match draw market. Only fixtures with a predicted draw probability of 25 %+ are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 14 May 2023. Cavalry FC vs HFX Wanderers FC sits top on 41% in the Canadian Premier League. The shortlist runs from 41% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Canadian Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the draw market — 30%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Related markets

Likely Draw — common questions