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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability — Sunday 14 March 2027

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher — making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

13 fixtures clear the bar on Sunday 14 March 2027. The strongest reading belongs to Frosinone vs Monza at 78% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

La Liga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A · Italy
Frosinone
– : – 17:30
Monza
Win 78%
Draw 12%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray
– : – 12:00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 56%
#3 La Liga · Spain
Barcelona
– : – 16:00
Deportivo La Coruna
Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Serie A · Italy
AC Milan
– : – 17:30
Sassuolo
Win 66%
Draw 17%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 65%
#5 La Liga · Spain
Real Madrid
– : – 16:00
Espanyol
Win 64%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 56%
#6 Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto
– : – 16:00
GIL Vicente
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#7 La Liga · Spain
Real Betis
– : – 16:00
Levante
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 2. Bundesliga · Germany
Dynamo Dresden
– : – 12:30
Holstein Kiel
Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 61%
#9 2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli
– : – 12:30
SV Darmstadt 98
Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
#10 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Cambuur
– : – 16:00
ADO Den Haag
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 65%
#11 Serie A · Italy
Como
– : – 17:30
Udinese
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#12 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax
– : – 16:00
PEC Zwolle
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Süper Lig · Turkey
Beşiktaş
– : – 12:00
Trabzonspor
Win 56%
Draw 21%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 13 fixtures by home win probability (≥ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker — common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 14 March 2027?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Frosinone vs Monza at 78% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.