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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Friday 23 October 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Friday 23 October 2026. Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers tops the list at 75% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 58%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
– : – 19:00
Sligo Rovers
Win 75%
Draw 18%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 64%
#2 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Volendam
– : – 18:00
Jong Utrecht
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
– : – 18:00
Jong Ajax
Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 75% BTTS Yes 64%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden
Oddevold
– : – 17:00
GIF Sundsvall
Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart
– : – 18:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cruzeiro
– : – 23:00
Remo
Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Alaves
– : – 19:00
Malaga
Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France
Stade Brestois 29
– : – 18:45
Nice
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 55%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Vasteras SK FK
– : – 17:00
Halmstad
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 61%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
– : – 18:00
MVV
Win 59%
Draw 19%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 73% BTTS Yes 69%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Torino
– : – 18:45
Monza
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 11 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Friday 23 October 2026?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Shamrock Rovers vs Sligo Rovers at 75% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.