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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Friday 1 May 2026

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Seven fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 1 May 2026. Viking vs Rosenborg sits top on 77% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 77% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the home win market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking
3 : 0 FT
Rosenborg
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shamrock Rovers
1 : 0 FT
Waterford
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 55%
#3 Super League Β· China
Shandong Luneng
1 : 1 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54%
#4 Premier League Β· England
Leeds
3 : 1 FT
Burnley
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Super League Β· China
Tianjin Teda
2 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy
Carrarese
0 : 0 FT
Cesena
Win 56%
Draw 29%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Palermo
3 : 2 FT
Catanzaro
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 7 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Friday 1 May 2026?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Viking vs Rosenborg at 77% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.