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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 13 December 2025

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 13 December 2025. Sporting CP vs AVS sits top on 84% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 58%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the home win market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
6 : 0 FT
AVS
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 11%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 56% ✓ Sporting CP Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Arsenal
2 : 1 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 6%
BTTS No 66% Arsenal Clean Sheet 62%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
2 : 1 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
4 : 3 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 14%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
2 : 0 FT
Osasuna
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#6 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Levadiakos
3 : 0 FT
Larisa
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 League One Β· England
Cardiff
4 : 3 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 0 FT
1. FC Köln
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Sion
1 : 0 FT
Grasshoppers
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#10 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1899 Hoffenheim
4 : 1 FT
Hamburger SV
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#11 Championship Β· England
Birmingham
1 : 1 FT
Charlton
Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 57%
#12 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
2 : 1 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#13 League Two Β· England
Walsall
1 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Groningen
3 : 0 FT
FC Volendam
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France
Saint Etienne
2 : 2 FT
Bastia
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%
#16 Championship Β· England
Coventry
1 : 0 FT
Bristol City
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#17 League One Β· England
Bolton
2 : 1 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 67% Bolton Clean Sheet 57%
#18 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Zurich
2 : 2 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové
1 : 1 FT
Mlada Boleslav
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
3 : 1 FT
Stade Brestois 29
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 13 December 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sporting CP vs AVS at 84% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.