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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Friday 7 February 2025

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Friday 7 February 2025. Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh sits top on 82% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 82% down to 56%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the home win market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ahli Jeddah
2 : 0 FT
Al-Fateh
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 11%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
2 : 2 FT
Rayong FC
Win 75%
Draw 15%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1 : 0 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 57%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
3 : 0 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 15%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 74%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 : 1 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Samsunspor
2 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
De Graafschap
1 : 0 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Grenoble
0 : 0 FT
RED Star FC 93
Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#9 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Nassr
3 : 0 FT
Al-Fayha
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 9 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Friday 7 February 2025?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Fateh at 82% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.