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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 8 December 2024

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

16 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 8 December 2024. Anderlecht vs Beerschot VA sits top on 84% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, twelve landed the home win market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Anderlecht
2 : 1 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 13%
Win 3%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS No 60% Anderlecht Clean Sheet 59%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Buriram United
6 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp
1 : 3 FT
Charleroi
Win 71%
Draw 22%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC
1 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Bundesliga Β· Austria
FC BW Linz
2 : 1 FT
Austria Klagenfurt
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 53%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Vienna
3 : 0 FT
SCR Altach
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Serie B Β· Italy
Spezia
5 : 0 FT
Cittadella
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain
Atletico Madrid
4 : 3 FT
Sevilla
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
BTTS No 54%
#9 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
3 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
1 : 2 FT
Heerenveen
Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 53% BTTS No 55%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
1 : 0 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Nasr
3 : 2 FT
Dibba Al Hisn
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#13 Premier League Β· Russia
Dynamo
4 : 1 FT
Khimki
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lens
2 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain
Osasuna
2 : 2 FT
Alaves
Win 56%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil
Bahia
2 : 0 FT
Atletico Goianiense
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 16 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 8 December 2024?

16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Anderlecht vs Beerschot VA at 84% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.