Sign in Register
🏠

Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 30 November 2024

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

18 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 30 November 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Norwich vs Luton at 81% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the home win market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England
Norwich
4 : 2 FT
Luton
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Eintracht Braunschweig
0 : 0 FT
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 70%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Sporting CP
0 : 1 FT
Santa Clara
Win 76%
Draw 15%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 65%
#4 Ligue 1 Β· France
Paris Saint Germain
1 : 1 FT
Nantes
Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
5 : 0 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Club Brugge KV
4 : 1 FT
Dender
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 20%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona
1 : 2 FT
Las Palmas
Win 70%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord
1 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Brentford
4 : 1 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 84% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Baník Ostrava
2 : 1 FT
Karviná
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Augsburg
1 : 0 FT
VfL Bochum
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Championship Β· England
Bristol City
4 : 0 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
NAC Breda
1 : 0 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#14 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Samsunspor
4 : 0 FT
Bodrum FK
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
#15 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Basel 1893
1 : 1 FT
Lausanne
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
#16 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Charleroi
1 : 1 FT
Standard Liege
Win 57%
Draw 31%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60% Charleroi Clean Sheet 54%
#17 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
4 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#18 Championship Β· England
Swansea
2 : 2 FT
Portsmouth
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%

Showing top 18 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 30 November 2024?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Norwich vs Luton at 81% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.