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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 3 February 2024

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

18 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 3 February 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Bayern München vs Borussia Mönchengladbach at 74% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 74% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the home win market — 56%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Bayern München
3 : 1 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Premier League Β· England
Newcastle
4 : 4 FT
Luton
Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
0 : 0 FT
Rio Ave
Win 66%
Draw 22%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ FC Porto Clean Sheet 53%
#4 League One Β· England
Peterborough
2 : 3 FT
Wigan
Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Championship Β· England
West Brom
1 : 0 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
#6 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Twente
3 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 59%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Nürnberg
2 : 2 FT
VfL Osnabrück
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#8 Super League Β· Switzerland
Grasshoppers
0 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 61%
Draw 18%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 70%
#9 League One Β· England
Oxford United
1 : 1 FT
Reading
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
0 : 3 FT
OH Leuven
Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy
Bologna
4 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain
Valencia
2 : 1 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
BTTS No 53%
#13 Ligue 2 Β· France
Angers
2 : 1 FT
Rodez
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#14 League Two Β· England
Newport County
2 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#15 Premier League Β· England
Brighton
4 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 23%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#16 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Rizespor
0 : 0 FT
Konyaspor
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
#17 League Two Β· England
Mansfield Town
1 : 0 FT
Notts County
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Başakşehir
2 : 0 FT
İstanbulspor
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%

Showing top 18 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 3 February 2024?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs Borussia Mönchengladbach at 74% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.