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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Friday 27 October 2023

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists nine fixtures on Friday 27 October 2023. Roda vs Jong Ajax led the list at 81% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 81% down to 56%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 9, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the home win market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
2 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 12%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 83% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Shelbourne
3 : 2 FT
UCD
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 16%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 59% Shelbourne Clean Sheet 55%
#3 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4 : 0 FT
VfL Osnabrück
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 1 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Police Tero
1 : 3 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 68%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
3 : 0 FT
Jong PSV U21
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 17%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 74%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Dordrecht
5 : 1 FT
Den Bosch
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil
Santos
2 : 1 FT
Coritiba
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 19%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 74%
#9 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Korona Kielce
5 : 3 FT
Puszcza Niepołomice
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%

Showing top 9 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Friday 27 October 2023?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Roda vs Jong Ajax at 81% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.