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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 26 February 2023

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

14 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 26 February 2023. Slavia Praha vs Slovácko sits top on 71% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 71% down to 55%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the home win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
2 : 0 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto
1 : 2 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven
3 : 1 FT
Twente
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 25%
Win 9%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 60% PSV Eindhoven Clean Sheet 56%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Red Bull Salzburg
2 : 0 FT
Ried
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Aris Thessalonikis
2 : 1 FT
Atromitos
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 28%
Win 11%
BTTS No 54%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
FK Jablonec
4 : 1 FT
Teplice
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 La Liga Β· Spain
Athletic Club
2 : 3 FT
Girona
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 56%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France
Reims
3 : 0 FT
Toulouse
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 63%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland
Servette FC
1 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Beşiktaş
0 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#11 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
RWDM
3 : 1 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient
0 : 1 FT
Auxerre
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
#13 Primera División Β· Chile
Colo Colo
2 : 3 FT
Coquimbo Unido
Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 62%
#14 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
1 : 2 FT
Port FC
Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 57%

Showing top 14 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 26 February 2023?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Slavia Praha vs Slovácko at 71% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.