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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Sunday 29 January 2023

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Eleven matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 29 January 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Slavia Praha vs FK Jablonec at 78% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 78% down to 55%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Czech Liga supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the home win market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
5 : 1 FT
FK Jablonec
βœ“ Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Juventus
0 : 2 FT
Monza
Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 63%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Genk
4 : 0 FT
Seraing United
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 61%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland
BSC Young Boys
5 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy
AC Milan
2 : 5 FT
Sassuolo
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slovan Liberec
1 : 1 FT
Pardubice
Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Lazio
1 : 1 FT
Fiorentina
Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#8 Super League 1 Β· Greece
AEK Athens FC
3 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 31%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 60% ✓ AEK Athens FC Clean Sheet 54%
#9 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Mlada Boleslav
0 : 0 FT
Zbrojovka Brno
Win 57%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 69%
#10 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV
4 : 2 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
3 : 2 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%

Showing top 11 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Sunday 29 January 2023?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Slavia Praha vs FK Jablonec at 78% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.