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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Friday 15 April 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 15 April 2022. FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 sits top on 70% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 56%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the home win market — 22%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC Eindhoven
1 : 3 FT
Jong PSV U21
Win 70%
Draw 18%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Utd
1 : 2 FT
Reading
Win 70%
Draw 20%
Win 10%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 63% Sheffield Utd Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Roda
5 : 3 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Trabzonspor
1 : 1 FT
Fatih Karagümrük
Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 53%
#5 League One Β· England
Accrington ST
0 : 0 FT
Burton Albion
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 65%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Rennes
2 : 3 FT
Monaco
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#7 League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
3 : 0 FT
Scunthorpe
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#8 League One Β· England
Charlton
2 : 3 FT
Morecambe
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
#9 Championship Β· England
Swansea
1 : 1 FT
Barnsley
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%

Showing top 9 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Friday 15 April 2022?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by FC Eindhoven vs Jong PSV U21 at 70% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.