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Home Banker Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted home win probability β€” Saturday 5 February 2022

Our prediction model uses each team's attack and defence strengths to calculate the probability of every match outcome. Fixtures listed here have a home win probability of 55% or higher β€” making them strong candidates for accumulator bankers. The model accounts for home advantage inherent in the league scoring averages.

The model shortlists ten fixtures on Saturday 5 February 2022. Slavia Praha vs Karviná led the list at 79% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 79% down to 55%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the home win market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Slavia Praha
0 : 1 FT
Karviná
Win 79%
Draw 14%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 60% Slavia Praha Clean Sheet 57%
#2 League One Β· England
Sunderland
1 : 2 FT
Doncaster
Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 65%
#3 League One Β· England
Rotherham
1 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 56%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy
Fiorentina
0 : 3 FT
Lazio
Win 66%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 70%
#5 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Bangkok United
0 : 0 FT
Ratchaburi
Win 63%
Draw 22%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al Ain
4 : 1 FT
Khorfakkan
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
AS Roma
0 : 0 FT
Genoa
Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
#8 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Teplice
1 : 0 FT
Bohemians 1905
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France
Monaco
2 : 0 FT
Lyon
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
#10 League Two Β· England
Leyton Orient
0 : 1 FT
Colchester
Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 10 fixtures by home win probability (β‰₯ 55%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Home Banker β€” common questions

What does the Home Banker market mean?

Home Banker settles on whether a match is won by the home side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate home win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The home win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the home side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Home Banker on Saturday 5 February 2022?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Slavia Praha vs Karviná at 79% home win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 55% or higher home win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these home win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.