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Half Time / Full Time Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest HT/FT probability β€” Saturday 4 January 2025

Half Time / Full Time needs the right result at the break and at the final whistle β€” nine possible outcomes, from Home/Home to Away/Away. Our prediction model models each half separately using the share of goals each league scores before half-time, then scales the grid to agree with its full-time result probabilities. Only fixtures whose most likely outcome reaches 30%+ are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 4 January 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Aston Villa vs Leicester (Aston Villa / Aston Villa) at 49% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 49% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the HT/FT market — 20%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· England Aston Villa / Aston Villa 49%
Aston Villa
2 : 1 FT
Leicester
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#2 Championship Β· England Stoke City / Stoke City 49%
Stoke City
0 : 0 FT
Plymouth
Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 8%
✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Stoke City Clean Sheet 54%
#3 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon / Lyon 45%
Lyon
1 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray / Galatasaray 44%
Galatasaray
2 : 1 FT
Göztepe
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 75%
#5 League One Β· England Wrexham / Wrexham 43%
Wrexham
1 : 0 FT
Peterborough
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#6 League One Β· England Leyton Orient / Leyton Orient 40%
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
Shrewsbury
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
#7 Championship Β· England Preston / Preston 39%
Preston
1 : 1 FT
Oxford United
Win 62%
Draw 25%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%
#8 Championship Β· England Norwich / Norwich 39%
Norwich
2 : 1 FT
Coventry
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France Guingamp / Guingamp 38%
Guingamp
1 : 1 FT
Dunkerque
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Championship Β· England Bristol City / Bristol City 38%
Bristol City
1 : 0 FT
Derby
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#11 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille / Lille 37%
Lille
1 : 1 FT
Nantes
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Premier League Β· England Arsenal / Arsenal 36%
Brighton
1 : 1 FT
Arsenal
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 57%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#13 League Two Β· England Colchester / Colchester 36%
Colchester
0 : 2 FT
Accrington ST
Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#14 Ligue 2 Β· France Metz / Metz 35%
Metz
0 : 0 FT
PAU
Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#15 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Samsunspor / Samsunspor 35%
Samsunspor
2 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 25%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy Udinese / Udinese 35%
Hellas Verona
0 : 0 FT
Udinese
Win 24%
Draw 22%
Win 55%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 62%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica / Benfica 34%
Benfica
1 : 2 FT
SC Braga
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#18 League Two Β· England Notts County / Notts County 33%
Notts County
2 : 0 FT
Swindon Town
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#19 Championship Β· England Middlesbrough / Middlesbrough 32%
Middlesbrough
1 : 1 FT
Cardiff
Win 51%
Draw 25%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#20 League One Β· England Barnsley / Barnsley 32%
Barnsley
3 : 0 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 22%
Win 28%
✓ Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 67%

Showing top 20 fixtures by HT/FT probability (a 30% or higher probability on the single most likely HT/FT outcome). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Half Time / Full Time β€” common questions

What does the Half Time / Full Time market mean?

Half Time / Full Time settles on whether a match matches the selected result at both half-time and full-time. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate HT/FT probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The HT/FT probability shown here is the most likely of the nine half-time/full-time combinations, modelling each half separately from the league's measured first-half share of goals and scaled to match the full-time result probabilities. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Half Time / Full Time on Saturday 4 January 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Aston Villa vs Leicester (Aston Villa / Aston Villa) at 49% HT/FT probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher probability on the single most likely HT/FT outcome, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these HT/FT predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.